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  • Why not Randomise Election Timings?

  • Are Hypotheses Instrumental or Fundamental?

  • Narrative and Propositional Scenarios

  • 'Luck' is Ignorance

  • The Evolution of Analytical Questions

  • Mandy Rice-Davies and the Non-diagnostic Evidence

  • Sony Hacker Threats; Risk Assessment Difficulties

  • Peripheral Vision in Animals and Organisations

  • Affine Transformations of Payoffs should not affect Decision-making

  • Evidential Support is More Complex than 'For' or 'Against'

  • Evidence of Absence

  • A Simple Rule for Decisions under Uncertainty


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Overcoming Bias
Overcoming Bias
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ribbonfarm
Error Statistics Philosophy
Error Statistics Philosophy
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Futility Closet
Overthinking it
Overthinking it
Gwern
Gwern
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Slate Star Codex
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Astral Codex Ten
Andart II
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Sources And Methods
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Finding Patterns - Journal
Finding Patterns - Journal
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