Terror Threat Levels and Intervals Between Attacks
Cogntive Task Sequencing
A Simple Base Rate Formula
What Coincidences Tell Us
That's No Moon
Logarithmic Probability Scores
Pareto Redux: 80:20 in Information Gathering
Resource-management under Uncertainty; Bats
When are Conditional Probabilities Equal?
Modelling Over- (and Under-) Confidence
Malware and Optimal Deception
Unforeseen Consequences
